Florida remains deeply polarized, and statewide races have continued to be decided by razor-thin margins. In 2019, the Republican-dominated legislature eviscerated an amendment to the state constitution that granted voting rights to most nonviolent felons who had completed their sentences. The ballot is thrown out only if the canvassing board decides that it is invalid.

He has written about the murder of a journalist in Pakistan, the uprisings in Yemen, the war in Afghanistan, the crises in Syria and Lebanon, the Prime Minister of Turkey, and a troubled Iraq war veteran who tracked down the surviving members of a family his unit had opened fire on. His book, “The Forever War,” won the 2008 National Book Critics Circle Award for nonfiction and was named a best book of the year by the Times, the Washington Post, Time, and the Boston Globe. An adviser from each of the campaigns is also allowed to express an opinion. This byline is for a different person with the same name. This byline is mine, but I want my name removed. “Dexter Filkins: "The fall of Ramadi is not just a bleak symbolic defeat for the Iraqi government and its allies" http://t.co/54o4krZ4ly” So far, the Bloomberg organization is spending a large chunk of its money to pay an army of people to canvass for Biden door to door. (In Florida, Democrats lead Republicans by a huge margin in mail-in votes, and Republicans have a sizable lead in early voting.) Find the best way to get in touch with Dexter by joining Muck Rack. In theory, the tabulation of ballots cast in person should proceed quickly. Will be used in accordance with our Privacy Policy.

The likeliest cause of insanity will be a very tight election. Journalists from around the world are reporting on the 2020 Presidential race—and offering perspectives not found in American media coverage. “The vast majority will be done by 9 P.M., and that will be true of most counties,” Wilcox, who is the incoming president of the state’s association of election supervisors, told me. Last week, many Democratic voters received intimidating e-mails, which threatened, “You will vote for Trump on Election Day or we will come after you.” The messages were made to appear as if they were from the Proud Boys, a group that government agencies have deemed “white supremacist.” In fact, according to American intelligence officials, they were sent by Iranian agents.

That’s because state laws do not allow mail-in and absentee ballots to be counted until Election Day—even as mail-in ballots are surging amid the COVID-19 pandemic.

The Contested Afterlife of the Trump-Alfa Bank Story. Jim Messina, who ran President Obama’s reëlection campaign, in 2012, told me that he has run simulations of some sixty-six thousand possible electoral outcomes, and in none of them did Trump win without capturing Florida. By the time Election Day is over, all the votes may not be counted. Postal Service. In the caravan, a truck with a large screen was playing pro-Biden videos. Dexter Filkins joined The New Yorker as a staff writer in 2011. In 2018, when Rick Scott ran for a U.S. Senate seat against the incumbent, Bill Nelson, some fifteen thousand ballots were not counted because they arrived after Election Day—a number larger than Scott’s margin of victory.

In 2018, some eleven thousand ballots were rejected for such problems.

Berger, the Democratic lawyer in Fort Lauderdale, said that the Biden campaign will deploy hundreds of lawyers around the state to handle challenges on Election Day. Remove; In this conversation. In all likelihood, more than half of Florida’s ballots will be cast before Election Day. All rights reserved.

“Trump is going to win, man,” Tarrio said.

Ever since the pandemic began, Democratic leaders have feared that a substantial majority of Republican voters would cast ballots in person on Election Day. He told me that he wasn’t planning on being in Florida on Election Day—he’ll be in D.C., he said, hopefully someplace close to the White House. But there may be at least one way to know whether Joe Biden will be President—if he decisively wins the state of Florida.

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The volume has already set records: more than three million mail-in ballots have been received, in addition to about two million early votes cast in person. Democratic leaders could go to the courts on such contested issues—but in Florida more than two decades of solid Republican control has made that route deeply uncertain.

Create a free Muck Rack account to customize your profile and upload a portfolio of your best work. When I spoke to Earley earlier this month, he told me that the Trump lawyers had contested signatures on ten ballots so far; all ten were examined and counted, he said. But, in states like Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, where the tabulation of mail-in ballots won’t begin until Election Day, things may not be so simple.

© 2020 Condé Nast.

When the ballot is received, the signature on the envelope is compared with the voter’s signature on her registration record. But there are troubling signs ahead. According to Johnny Celestin, the president of Haitians for Biden, some twenty Proud Boys confronted the caravan, flashing the group’s hand signal; then one of them smashed the windshield of the truck. In Broward County, which includes Fort Lauderdale, lawyers for the Trump campaign challenged fifteen random signatures, in what they described as an effort to test the system. If the signatures seem mismatched, the unopened ballot is set aside and the voter is contacted and given a chance to fix the problem. Disinformation poses a danger, too. To revisit this article, select My⁠ ⁠Account, then View saved stories.

But the knockout scenario assumes two things: Biden wins Florida by a convincing margin, and there are no major disputes about the tally. Introducing Trends: visualize news in real-time and discover top authors or outlets.

Voting by mail has gone smoothly so far. “I’m going to check into a hotel with a good view and enjoy the festivities.”.

Filkins worked at the Miami Herald and the Los Angeles Times, where he was the paper’s New Delhi bureau chief, before joining the New York Times, in 2000, reporting from New York, South Asia, and Iraq, where he was based from 2003 to 2006. In 2009, he won a Pulitzer Prize as part of a team of Times journalists covering Pakistan and Afghanistan. The New Yorker may earn a portion of sales from products that are purchased through our site as part of our Affiliate Partnerships with retailers. stronghold. And Florida has experienced balloting problems in nearly every statewide election since 2000, when George W. Bush and Al Gore finished with nearly identical totals, initiating a long and vicious fight.

Voter-registration systems in the state—as in every state—are especially vulnerable to attack.

There is a real possibility that their ballots won’t be delivered by November 3rd, not least because of Trump’s attempt to cripple the U.S. Ad Choices, Sign up for our daily newsletter and get the best of. Can Ron DeSantis Deliver a Victory in Florida to Donald Trump? Wesley Wilcox, the supervisor of elections in Marion County, in the northern part of the state, hopes that most will be counted by late Tuesday evening. Dexter Filkins is a staff writer at The New Yorker and the author of “The Forever War,” which won a National Book Critics Circle Award. “Dexter Filkins on the resurgence of Iraq’s sectarian war: http://t.co/7jC2jS5SfV”

He has received numerous prizes, including two George Polk Awards and three Overseas Press Club Awards.

“He doesn’t want there to be any doubt,” Mitchell Berger, a prominent Democratic lawyer in Fort Lauderdale, told me.

leaders have learned that lower turnouts usually help their candidates, and they have pushed laws to make it harder for people to vote. Will Florida Decide the Presidential Race or Throw It Into Confusion? It was precisely the desire to deliver such a decisive blow that prompted Michael Bloomberg, the businessman and former mayor of New York, to pledge a hundred million dollars to support Biden’s candidacy in Florida.

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